Trendoday

The SIMPLE Law for Energy Cost of LLM Inference

Generative AI is billed per token, yet tokens are not equally expensive. Each token enters the KV-cache and raises the cost of those that follow, so energy grows non-linearly along a sequence whose to

  • Upvotes11
#23Rank now –
#19Peak rank
4Days on list
191Score · 7d
Nov 5, 2026First seen
Rank · 7 days

About this paper

A four-parameter analytical law predicts LLM inference energy across architectures, revealing quadratic prefill costs, GQA savings, and super-linear growth from reasoning budgets and agentic serving.

Generative AI is billed per token, yet tokens are not equally expensive. Each token enters the KV-cache and raises the cost of those that follow, so energy grows non-linearly along a sequence whose tokens look identical. No analytical model states what a token costs, and the most accurate SOTA model is a fit, not a law: it absorbs architecture into fitted coefficients, requiring per-LLM fitting. We derive closed-form expressions of the computational and memory-access complexity of LLM inference in terms of architectural hyperparameters, covering MHA and GQA, and compare a family of analytical models of increasing granularity. From these, we obtain the SIMPLE Inference Model to Predict LLMs…

KV-cacheMHAGQALLM inferenceprefilldecodeSIMPLE lawenergy complexitygroup-query attentionmulti-head attention
Upvotes
11
Authors
5
Published
Nov 2, 2026

Summary and abstract excerpt via Hugging Face Papers ↗ · arXiv.

Trending history

The SIMPLE Law for Energy Cost of LLM Inference was first seen on Hugging Face · Daily papers on Nov 5, 2026. Since then it has appeared in 37 checks on 4 different days. Its best position was #19 of 30, reached on Nov 6, 21:28 UTC. It is #23 right now, slipping from #22 to #23 over the last 6 checks.

Rank history

Position on Hugging Face · Daily papers at every check (lower is better).

#1#11#20#30 Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7Nov 7Nov 8 Nov 5, 17:28 UTC · #30Nov 5, 19:28 UTC · #25Nov 5, 21:28 UTC · #26Nov 5, 23:28 UTC · #27Nov 6, 01:28 UTC · #23Nov 6, 03:28 UTC · #23Nov 6, 05:28 UTC · #24Nov 6, 07:28 UTC · #24Nov 6, 09:28 UTC · #25Nov 6, 11:28 UTC · #23Nov 6, 13:28 UTC · #24Nov 6, 15:28 UTC · #23Nov 6, 17:28 UTC · #22Nov 6, 19:28 UTC · #21Nov 6, 21:28 UTC · #19Nov 6, 23:28 UTC · #19Nov 7, 01:28 UTC · #19Nov 7, 03:28 UTC · #19Nov 7, 05:28 UTC · #19Nov 7, 07:28 UTC · #19Nov 7, 09:28 UTC · #19Nov 7, 11:28 UTC · #19Nov 7, 13:28 UTC · #21Nov 7, 15:28 UTC · #22Nov 7, 17:28 UTC · #23Nov 7, 19:28 UTC · #23Nov 7, 21:28 UTC · #23Nov 7, 23:28 UTC · #21Nov 8, 01:28 UTC · #22Nov 8, 03:28 UTC · #22Nov 8, 05:28 UTC · #22Nov 8, 07:28 UTC · #22Nov 8, 09:28 UTC · #22Nov 8, 11:28 UTC · #23Nov 8, 13:28 UTC · #23Nov 8, 15:28 UTC · #23Nov 8, 17:28 UTC · #23

Last 14 days

Best rank per day (UTC).

Oct 26today

Metric history

▲ as reported by Hugging Face.

04711 Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7Nov 7Nov 8 Nov 5, 17:28 UTC · 4Nov 5, 19:28 UTC · 7Nov 5, 21:28 UTC · 7Nov 5, 23:28 UTC · 8Nov 6, 01:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 03:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 05:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 07:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 09:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 11:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 13:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 15:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 17:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 19:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 21:28 UTC · 9Nov 6, 23:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 01:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 03:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 05:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 07:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 09:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 11:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 13:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 15:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 17:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 19:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 21:28 UTC · 9Nov 7, 23:28 UTC · 10Nov 8, 01:28 UTC · 10Nov 8, 03:28 UTC · 10Nov 8, 05:28 UTC · 10Nov 8, 07:28 UTC · 11Nov 8, 09:28 UTC · 11Nov 8, 11:28 UTC · 11Nov 8, 13:28 UTC · 11Nov 8, 15:28 UTC · 11Nov 8, 17:28 UTC · 11

Questions

Is The SIMPLE Law for Energy Cost of LLM Inference trending on HF Daily Papers right now?

Yes. As of Nov 8, 17:28 UTC it is #23, slipping from #22 to #23 over the last 6 checks.

What is the highest rank The SIMPLE Law for Energy Cost of LLM Inference reached?

#19 on Hugging Face · Daily papers, on Nov 6, 21:28 UTC. Trendoday checks this list every 120 minutes.

How long has The SIMPLE Law for Energy Cost of LLM Inference been trending?

It was first seen on Nov 5, 2026 and has been on the list on 4 days (37 checks) since.